This week was week number 13 of continued improvement in the forbearance numbers and are now down to 4.18% of loans in forbearance or about 2.1 million borrowers. This is fewer than half the total amount of borrowers who were initially in a forbearance plan in May of 2020 which was about 8.47% of borrowers which was way below the predicted 30% of borrowers who were expected to go into forbearance.
Covering the latest in forbearance, delinquencies, employment, and loan servicing.
After 2 weeks of large drops, we had a small drop in total loans in forbearance. As of April 18, about 4.49% of loans were in forbearance, a slight decline from 4.50%. This is a decline of nearly 5,000 borrowers to about 2.25 million.
Two weeks ago, we had a big drop in total loans in forbearance, and last week we had another large drop. We are now down to 4.50% of loans or 2.3 million homeowners in a forbearance plan. Two weeks ago, it was 4.9% of loans.
Forbearance numbers improved again for the 5th week in a row. It is very difficult to make predictions in this current environment. Policy is changing regularly. We do know one thing that is helping all homeowners, struggling or not, it is the sky-high appreciation. Nationwide it is nearly 16% and here locally it is 19%. This gives homeowners options, whether or not they are struggling to make payments.
There is a lot of talk about what will happen next. While we do not have a crystal ball and the real estate market is unpredictable, there are a few assumptions we can make based on the numbers. There are tons of headlines and YouTube videos all about how the market will crash in 2021. The problem with many of these predictions is that they exclude very important data. Today I saw a YouTube video with many thousands of views and used lots of numbers to illustrate his point. Throughout the entire video he never made mention of buyer demand or homeowner equity. Remember, the foundation for all economics is the relationship between supply AND demand.
In this 15 minute video, Lydia Wietsma and I discuss the latest improvements in mortgage forbearance and delinquencies, and also the declining demand (not prices).
In this 12 minute video, Lydia Wietsma and I discuss forbearance, demand, specific industries, and our one-year anniversary.
We do these videos to share the real information with real estate professionals and consumers about what is going on in this sector of real estate. There is a lot of fear behind forbearance and the moratoriums, and bad advice being given. While there is no reason to panic, it is important to be informed.
In this 17 minute video, Lydia Wietsma and I discuss the latest in forbearance and updates on the new CFPB leadership.